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  3. Modeling Opioid Use Disorder and the Impact of Interventions in the US – a Geospatially Detailed Agent-based Model

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Modeling Opioid Use Disorder and the Impact of Interventions in the US – a Geospatially Detailed Agent-based Model

October 8, 2025 @ 11:45 am - 12:45 pm CDT

Location: Hybrid: 2-122 Molecular and Cellular Biology Building (MCB) Or zoom
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Under funding from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, we have constructed a complex model of opioid use disorder in the Framework for Reconstructing Epidemic Dynamics (FRED) an agent-based modeling platform developed by the Public Health Dynamics Laboratory at the University of Pittsburgh School of Public Health.  The model combines data on individual characteristics (age, gender, race, metal health history, opioid use history) with characteristics from the geographic location in which the individual resides (density of OUD disorders, amount of Fentanyl, availability of naloxone and buprenorphine) to estimate the likelihood that an individual progresses through different states of opioid use disorder.  Using data from the literature, we estimate the impact of various interventions on the number of people with OUD and the number of OUD-related deaths. We are developing county-specific front-end to estimates the impact of combinations of interventions.

Audience for this event: All SPH students, faculty and staff

Speaker(s)

Mark Roberts

Mark S. Roberts, MD, MPP

Distinguished Professor of Health Policy and Management at the University of Pittsburgh School of Public Health

Learn more about Mark S. Roberts, MD, MPP

Mark S. Roberts, MD, MPP, is Distinguished Professor of Health Policy and Management at the University of Pittsburgh School of Public Health. A former practicing general internist, he has conducted research in decision analysis and the mathematical modeling of disease for over 35 years and has expertise in cost effectiveness analysis, mathematical optimization and simulation, and the measurement and inclusion of patient preferences into decision problems. He has used decision sciences to examine clinical, costs, policy and allocation questions in liver transplantation, vaccination strategies, operative interventions, influenza, COVID-19, HIV and the use of many medications. His recent research has concentrated in the use of mathematical methods from operations research and management science, including Markov Decision Processes, Discrete Event and Agent-based Simulation.

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We strive to host inclusive and accessible events. To request accommodations or additional information, please contact bahr0011@umn.edu

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Details

Audience:
Current Students, Faculty/Staff

Venue

Hybrid: 2-122 Molecular and Cellular Biology Building (MCB) Or zoom
420 Washington Ave SE
Minneapolis, MN 55455 United States
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Organizer

Dvision of Health Policy & Management
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